. >> what we're seeing right now the swing states are very tight. right now, you know, we're showing most of the same toss up states. we're showing romney lightly ahead in ohio. but we're showing obama ahead in virginia. these are within the margin of error, plus or minus 1%. the national number which has been consistent, we show obama .8%. what we're seeing is some places are very different. florida, we have consistently felt solid romney for a long time. a lot of people still have that as a toss up. >> gavin: this last week's poll that shows obama lead. >> yes yes. i think the race is closer than some of the pollsters and pundits say. i think it's too close to call. i don't think we would say that obama is going to wayne or romney is going to win. but i think the polling is misleading to show that it is obama right now than it is. it depends on who shows up, what is the weather like. a whole bunch of factors play in this what does the storm do. >> gavin: here's what people are thinking as that meet something occurring. >> yes, and we're going to k